Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 19.636785 22.224737 25.045787 28.352457 32.126293 36.303846 41.285544
2025-02-09 15.626875 18.986166 22.930666 27.916516 34.068446 41.433467 50.953767
2025-02-16 12.432295 16.072951 20.636691 26.804727 34.965455 45.450760 60.037455
2025-02-23 10.149309 13.879965 18.842570 25.973634 36.035652 49.841042 70.415436
2025-03-02 8.468512 12.190965 17.419367 25.369532 37.278422 54.652720 82.283667
2025-03-09 7.256964 10.952796 16.411544 25.160866 39.022095 60.450851 96.700802
2025-03-16 6.278588 9.897535 15.496618 24.920740 40.653245 66.335906 112.398705
2025-03-23 5.689925 9.348318 15.264476 25.700577 44.024478 75.560080 135.446917
2025-03-30 5.055653 8.625480 14.636753 25.708111 46.076019 82.893570 156.652784
2025-04-06 4.418252 7.801532 13.713158 25.040943 46.797463 87.957510 174.638028
2025-04-13 3.915215 7.140236 12.975017 24.582839 47.809129 93.704459 195.110608
2025-04-20 3.633667 6.841747 12.849616 25.256414 51.118884 104.507292 228.333671
2025-04-27 3.417069 6.646258 12.910155 26.349910 55.571073 118.682334 272.636545
2025-05-04 3.137698 6.289290 12.605704 26.650462 58.416893 130.009181 313.205882
2025-05-11 2.810170 5.790039 11.943962 26.084629 59.257576 137.035797 345.154923
2025-05-18 2.534289 5.361352 11.370305 25.622803 60.262123 144.664177 380.595347
2025-05-25 2.301574 4.994272 10.878699 25.270680 61.471404 153.049721 420.243828
2025-06-01 2.119670 4.715256 10.543903 25.236374 63.468205 163.850188 469.506099
2025-06-08 1.952356 4.447281 10.197576 25.118702 65.235393 174.424761 520.988802
2025-06-15 1.864063 4.351775 10.242434 25.996308 69.824425 193.707559 604.516080
2025-06-22 1.736804 4.146236 9.993607 26.069177 72.216124 207.269484 673.647475
2025-06-29 1.585105 3.861491 9.510814 25.437406 72.485834 214.642538 724.246543
2025-07-06 1.459334 3.626074 9.122079 25.003354 73.259534 223.732605 783.520224